NBA Playoffs: What Are the Best Chet Holmgren Prop Bets for Game 3 vs. Nuggets?

The Oklahoma City Thunder are rolling into Game 3 of their second-round series with the Denver Nuggets holding a strong 2-0 lead. One player who continues to make a quiet but crucial impact is rookie big man Chet Holmgren. While he’s not lighting up the scoreboard like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Holmgren’s doing a little bit of everything — and savvy bettors are taking notice.

With tip-off just around the corner, let’s take a look at the most interesting Chet Holmgren prop bets available on DraftKings Sportsbook ahead of Friday night’s matchup at Ball Arena.

Should You Bet the Over on Holmgren’s Points?

Chet’s points prop is set at 15.5, which might seem tempting after his 15-point performance in Game 2. But tread carefully here.

Holmgren has scored fewer than 16 points in five straight games against the Nuggets this season. The only time he crossed that line was way back on October 24, when he dropped 25 points in their first meeting of the year. Since then? Jokic and Denver’s defensive schemes have made life harder for him inside.

So while the number looks reachable, betting the under on 15.5 points at -125 odds might be the safer play tonight — especially with Shai continuing to carry most of the scoring load.

Is the 3-Point Prop the Smart Bet Tonight?

This might be where the real value is hiding.

Holmgren’s over 1.5 three-pointers made is listed at +114, and that’s the prop worth watching. He’s hit two or more threes in four of six playoff games so far, shooting a scorching 40.6% from deep this postseason.

What makes this even more attractive is Denver’s defensive coverage. With Nikola Jokic often playing drop coverage, Holmgren is finding plenty of space at the top of the arc. He’s more comfortable stepping out than banging inside, and the Thunder’s spacing allows him to float around the perimeter and pick his spots.

Given how the Nuggets guard ball screens, Holmgren should get at least a few clean looks from downtown. That +114 payout is looking more and more like a steal.

Can Holmgren Hit His PTS + REB + AST Line?

DraftKings has his points + rebounds + assists line at 25.5. While Holmgren does offer a balanced stat line each game, this number feels a little tight.

He’s averaging:

  • 16.8 points
  • 8.0 rebounds
  • 1.2 assists

That totals to 26.0, which just barely clears the line. If you believe he’ll hit his average, the over makes sense. But if you’re unsure about his scoring (especially considering the points history vs. Denver), this may be a stay-away line.

What About His Defensive Stats?

Holmgren’s defensive presence has been one of the keys to OKC’s postseason run. He averages 3.8 combined steals and blocks per game, also known as “stocks” in fantasy and betting circles.

While no current line has been highlighted for stocks on DraftKings, it’s worth watching if one becomes available. Holmgren’s length and timing make him a threat to swat shots and poke balls loose in every matchup. His defensive stats could be another smart angle if you’re looking beyond the standard categories.

Hot this week

Healthy High Protein Breakfast Options to Start Your Day Strong

Tired of feeling hungry just hours after breakfast? Wondering...

Logan Lerman Talks New Rom-Com ‘Oh, Hi!’ and Why Modern Dating Is So Complicated

Logan Lerman and director Sophie Brooks are bringing messy,...

Paula Deen Closes Her Two Famous Restaurants in Savannah After 40 Years

It’s the end of a delicious era in Savannah....

Topics

Understanding the Different Types of Ransomware: A Beginner’s Guide

What is Ransomware? Ransomware is malicious software or malware that...

Val Kilmer Family: Ex-Wife Joanne Whalley, Kids Mercedes & Jack Kilmer

Val Kilmer wasn’t just a Hollywood icon—he was a...

Alexander Ovechkin Net Worth 2025: NHL Salary, Career Earnings & Endorsements

Alexander Ovechkin’s net worth in 2025 represents the legacy...

The Ultimate Escape: How to Plan a Relaxing Getaway in Central Texas

Taking time away from daily stress is no longer...

Stan Kroenke Net Worth 2025: Billionaire Arsenal Owner & Global Sports Mogul

Stan Kroenke is no longer just a billionaire sports...

Bruce Springsteen Net Worth 2025: How Rich Is “The Boss” Today?

Bruce Springsteen’s net worth in 2025 continues to reflect...

Related Articles

Popular Categories